ClimateAheadfor Business
Physical climate risk · UK & Ireland

Put a price on climate risk, for any building in the UK & Ireland.

ClimateAhead turns flooding, heat, storms and six other physical hazards into a pound figure for each of your buildings, using the loss-modelling methods the insurance industry runs on. Priced to sweep a whole portfolio, and clear enough to act on today.

UK & Ireland
every nation
9
perils priced
£ loss
per building
to 2100
horizon
SSP1–2.6 to 5–8.5
four scenarios
Science-backed Every figure traces back to open public data from the Met Office, the Environment Agency, NASA and Copernicus (the EU's earth-observation programme). Nothing proprietary, nothing you cannot check.
Financial quantification

Climate risk, measured in pounds.

We turn each hazard into an expected annual loss for the building (also called average annual loss: the average yearly cost once you spread rare, severe events out over time), showing what it is likely to cost today and how that climbs as the climate shifts. It runs on depth-damage loss methods from insurance and catastrophe modelling (curves that convert how deep the water gets, or how hard the wind blows, into the share of a building's value lost), built on published functions from the JRC (the EU's Joint Research Centre) and the Environment Agency, and priced against each asset's rebuild cost.

So instead of a colour or a score, you get a number your finance team already knows how to use.

Nine perils

Every peril that moves the number, priced.

We price nine physical hazards for each building, then roll them into one expected annual loss. Water hazards read teal, heat-driven hazards amber, and wind, snow and cold grey.

Flooding Heavy rain Heat & overheating Drought Wildfire Subsidence Storms & wind Snow & ice Cold snaps

Subsidence is clay soils shrinking and swelling as droughts deepen, the peril behind most cracked-wall claims in the drier UK regions.

Decision-useful

A number you can act on, not file away.

Every output is built to drive a decision, with the loss figure and the confidence behind it in plain view.

Underwrite & price

Set premiums, terms and lending decisions against real exposure, per asset and per peril, not a postcode average.

Target resilience spend

See which sites carry the most avoidable loss, so money spent on adaptation lands where it pays back fastest.

Buy, hold or sell

Fold the climate cost into acquisitions, valuations and hold-versus-sell calls before it shows up on the balance sheet.

Report with evidence

Drop the figures straight into your sustainability and climate-risk disclosures, with the source behind every one.

Pricing

Priced like a utility, not a consultancy.

Physical climate risk should be a commodity, not a bespoke project. We built ClimateAhead so a low fixed fee per building lets you run your whole portfolio, as often as you need. The cost of checking should never be the reason you did not.

£20k–£50k · weeks
A traditional consultancy assessment, typical illustrative range. Per site, and stale by the time it lands.
A small fee · minutes
ClimateAhead. Per building, across the whole portfolio, re-run whenever things change.
Coverage & resolution

Every UK & Ireland nation, at the finest data we can get.

We use the sharpest local hazard data each nation publishes, and fall back to national models where it stops, always labelled.

NationFlood riskHeat, rain & wind
England2 m · EA NaFRA21 km HadUK · 250 m wind
WalesFlood zones · Natural Resources Wales1 km HadUK · 250 m wind
ScotlandLikelihood maps · SEPA1 km HadUK · 250 m wind
Northern Ireland~90 m depth · JRC GloFAS1 km HadUK · 250 m wind
Ireland~90 m depth · JRC GloFASDownscaled NASA · 250 m wind

Climate projections come from NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 (NASA's global climate-model runs, downscaled to a fine grid) across every nation, aligned to the local baseline. Wind uses the Global Wind Atlas (an open global wind-resource dataset) throughout.

Flood sources, in plain terms: EA NaFRA2 is the Environment Agency's National Flood Risk Assessment for England; HadUK is the Met Office's gridded record of UK weather; JRC GloFAS is the EU Joint Research Centre's Global Flood Awareness System. Scenarios run across four pathways, from SSP1–2.6 to SSP5–8.5, the standard set of future-emissions pathways, from a low path to a high-emissions one.

Disclosure ready

Built for the reports you have to file.

The same quantified outputs, structured for the standards your auditors and regulators work to.

CSRD / ESRS E1Double materiality

The EU's Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive and its climate standard, ESRS E1. Physical-risk exposure and its financial materiality across acute and chronic hazards, scenarios and horizons.

TCFD / IFRS S2Scenario analysis

The Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures, now carried into the IFRS S2 accounting standard. Governance-ready scenario analysis across SSP pathways (the standard future-emissions scenarios) and time horizons, with every assumption stated.

EU TaxonomyDNSH

The EU's classification of environmentally sustainable activities. The climate-adaptation "do no significant harm" (DNSH) screening table, generated per asset against the Taxonomy criteria.

Audit trailTraceable

Every figure carries its source and resolution, so an auditor or model-risk reviewer can follow it back to the data.

Why trust it

UK depth, and rigour you can put in front of an auditor.

Global tools average the whole country. We go building-by-building on UK & Ireland data, on the same modelling engine behind the ClimateAhead consumer report, built by Good Risk Group, a UK risk specialist.

Proof slots to fill: customer logos, named client testimonials, ISO 27001 and a public methodology page. Left deliberately empty. These should be real, not decorative.
  • Insurance-grade loss method.
    Depth-damage functions and expected annual loss, the same discipline insurers and catastrophe modellers use to price risk.
  • Traceable to the dataset.
    Every number carries its source and resolution, from the report back to the open public data behind it.
  • Honest about uncertainty.
    Confidence bounds across a multi-model ensemble (several climate models run together) and multiple SSP scenarios, so you know how firm each figure is.
Get started

See the loss on your own portfolio.

A short walkthrough with the team, or a sample report priced for one of your sites.